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What changes will occur in CJNG's leadership by November 21, 2025?
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Cristian Fernando Gutiérrez Ochoa•Jalisco New Generation Cartel•CJNG•Nemesio Oseguera Cervantes•El Mencho•Riverside•California•Gutiérrez Ochoa•United States
Resolution / Starting Odds
Leadership Remains Same • 25%
New Leader Emerges • 25%
Multiple Leaders • 25%
Cartel Disbands • 25%
Reports from law enforcement agencies or major news outlets
Story
CJNG Leader's Son-in-Law Arrested in Riverside, California for Drug Trafficking
Nov 21, 2024, 06:47 PM
Cristian Fernando Gutiérrez Ochoa, a high-ranking member of the Jalisco New Generation Cartel (CJNG) and son-in-law of its leader Nemesio Oseguera Cervantes, known as 'El Mencho', was arrested in Riverside, California. Gutiérrez Ochoa had previously faked his own death to evade capture and live a life of luxury in the U.S. He was apprehended after orchestrating the importation of large quantities of methamphetamine and cocaine into the United States. The arrest was announced by the U.S. Department of Justice, highlighting a significant blow to the CJNG's operations. Gutiérrez Ochoa faces federal conspiracy charges related to drug trafficking, with the drug ring using social media to facilitate their operations.
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Arrested • 25%
Killed • 25%
Still at large • 25%
Surrenders • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Ivan Archivaldo Guzman • 25%
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Other • 25%
New leader emerges • 25%
Leadership remains the same • 25%
Internal conflict or split • 25%
Dissolution of the cartel • 25%
Ivan Archivaldo Guzman • 25%
Jesus Alfredo Guzman • 25%
Other • 25%
No new leader • 25%
Ivan Archivaldo Guzman • 25%
Jesus Alfredo Guzman • 25%
Joaquin Guzman Lopez • 25%
Other • 25%
Ismael 'El Mayo' Zambada's son • 25%
Another high-ranking cartel member • 25%
Fragmentation into smaller groups • 25%
Unknown/Other • 25%
US Department of Justice • 25%
Mexican Navy (SEMAR) • 25%
DEA • 25%
Other • 25%