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Victory margin in Lithuanian presidential runoff
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Resolution / Starting Odds
0-5% margin • 25%
5-10% margin • 25%
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More than 15% margin • 25%
Official election results announced by the Lithuanian Central Electoral Commission
Story
Lithuania's Presidential Runoff Set for May 26: Nauseda vs Simonyte
May 13, 2024, 04:05 AM
In the recent Lithuanian presidential election, incumbent President Gitanas Nauseda and Prime Minister Ingrida Simonyte are set to proceed to a runoff vote scheduled for May 26. Nauseda, who has been a vocal critic of Russia's Vladimir Putin, led the early vote count, positioning him closer to securing his second and final term. The election campaign has been notably influenced by security concerns in the Baltics amid Russia's ongoing conflict with Ukraine.
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1-5% • 25%
6-10% • 25%
11-15% • 25%
16-20% • 25%
Nauseda 40-50% • 25%
Nauseda 50-60% • 25%
Simonyte 20-30% • 25%
Simonyte 30-40% • 25%
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No significant change • 25%
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1,001-2,500 votes • 25%
2,501-5,000 votes • 25%
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10% margin or more • 33%
Between 5% and 10% • 34%
Less than 5% • 33%
Major impact favoring Nauseda • 25%
Minor impact favoring Nauseda • 25%
Major impact favoring Simonyte • 25%
Minor impact favoring Simonyte • 25%
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5% to 10% • 25%
10% to 15% • 25%
More than 15% • 25%