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U.S. successful missile intercept test from Guam by June 30, 2025?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Announcements from the U.S. Missile Defense Agency or the Pentagon
Story
U.S. Intercepts Medium-Range Ballistic Missile in First-Ever Test from Guam
Dec 10, 2024, 03:34 PM
The U.S. Missile Defense Agency (MDA) has successfully conducted the first-ever live ballistic missile intercept test from Guam. The test involved the Aegis Guam System, which utilized an AN/TPY-6 radar and a Vertical Launching System to fire a Standard Missile-3 Block IIA interceptor. The missile successfully targeted and hit a medium-range ballistic missile launched off the coast of Andersen Air Force Base. This achievement is considered a significant step in bolstering the defense capabilities of Guam, as stated by the Pentagon.
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Successful intercept of new type of missile • 25%
Deployment of new missile systems • 25%
Joint defense exercise with allies • 25%
Other • 25%
Other • 25%
New intercept test • 25%
Deployment of new defense systems • 25%
Expansion of existing systems • 25%
Diplomatic engagement • 25%
No response • 25%
Military exercise • 25%
Verbal protest • 25%