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Next major U.S. missile defense development in Indo-Pacific by December 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Deployment of new missile systems • 25%
Successful intercept of new type of missile • 25%
Joint defense exercise with allies • 25%
Other • 25%
Official announcements from the U.S. Department of Defense or credible news sources
Story
U.S. Successfully Intercepts Intermediate-Range Ballistic Missile Target Off Guam for First Time, Pentagon Reports
Dec 11, 2024, 08:39 AM
The U.S. Missile Defense Agency announced a successful intercept of an air-launched intermediate-range ballistic missile target during a test conducted off Guam, marking the first successful test of this capability from the strategic military outpost. This test is considered a significant milestone in enhancing the defensive capabilities of U.S. forces in the Indo-Pacific region, particularly in light of increasing tensions with China. The Pentagon emphasized the importance of this achievement, although some experts have raised concerns about the interceptor's effectiveness against potential saturation attacks. The test underscores ongoing efforts to bolster missile defense systems in response to regional threats.
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Introduction of new missile types • 25%
Deployment of additional Aegis systems • 25%
Other advancements • 25%
Enhanced radar capabilities • 25%
Deployment of new defense systems • 25%
Expansion of existing systems • 25%
Other • 25%
New intercept test • 25%
Other • 25%
Aegis Ashore • 25%
THAAD • 25%
Patriot • 25%
United States • 25%
Other • 25%
South Korea • 25%
Japan • 25%
Japan • 25%
China • 25%
United States • 25%
South Korea • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Other • 25%
Middle East • 25%
Asia-Pacific • 25%
Europe • 25%
United Arab Emirates • 25%
Qatar • 25%
Other • 25%
Saudi Arabia • 25%
Decrease in defense budget • 25%
Increase in defense budget • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Introduction of new technology • 25%