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Market
US government's response to the Congo coup attempt by the end of 2024
5
Tyler Thompson•American•Democratic Republic of Congo•Felix Tshisekedi•Americans•Biden•DRC•Congolese•Thompson
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased diplomatic engagement • 33%
Reduction in diplomatic presence • 33%
No change in diplomatic strategy • 34%
US State Department announcements or major global news outlets
Story
American Tyler Thompson Arrested in Failed Coup Attempt in Congo
May 25, 2024, 04:45 AM
Tyler Thompson, a 21-year-old American, was arrested during his first trip abroad after his friend’s father attempted to lead a coup against Democratic Republic of Congo President Felix Tshisekedi. The coup attempt involved three Americans and has been described as an embarrassment for the Biden administration, which is working to maintain influence in the DRC due to its vast reserves of critical minerals. The friend of a prominent Congolese opposition leader’s son declined a six-figure offer to join the security detail for the coup. Thompson was reportedly seen begging for his life during the failed coup attempt.
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Diplomatic efforts only • 25%
Sanctions on involved parties • 25%
Military support to Congo • 25%
No further involvement • 25%
UN Security Council addresses the issue • 33%
African Union intervention • 33%
No significant international response • 34%
Condemnation • 25%
Support for government • 25%
Calls for investigation • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Condemnation • 25%
Sanctions • 25%
Support for government • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Diplomatic protest • 33%
Increase in military presence • 33%
No significant change • 34%
No Response • 33%
Diplomatic Condemnation • 33%
Economic or Military Aid • 34%
Diplomatic efforts • 33%
Increased sanctions • 33%
Military retaliation • 34%
Condemnation and no further action • 33%
Diplomatic sanctions • 33%
Increased military presence • 33%
Increase in military investment by other countries • 25%
Neutral/no change in foreign military presence • 25%
Decrease in overall foreign military presence • 25%
Increased diplomatic efforts instead of military • 25%
Diplomatic measures • 25%
Increased physical security measures • 25%
Technological upgrades • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Condemnation only • 25%
Aid suspension • 25%
Sanctions • 25%
No significant action • 25%