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VisitUS GDP Growth Rate Lower in Q1 2025 Compared to Q4 2024?
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
US Bureau of Economic Analysis GDP report for Q1 2025
FOMC Minutes Support 25 Basis Point Rate Cut at December Meeting, Citing Concerns Over Trump's Policies
Jan 8, 2025, 07:01 PM
The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) minutes from the December 17-18 meeting, released today, indicate that a vast majority of participants supported a 25 basis point rate cut at the meeting. The minutes reveal that the Federal Reserve officials are at or near the point of slowing the pace of easing, with many suggesting a gradual move toward a more neutral policy stance if economic data aligns with expectations. Participants anticipated that inflation would continue moving toward the 2% target, but noted that potential trade and immigration policy changes under the incoming administration of President Donald Trump could slow this progress. The Fed's staff projected slightly lower GDP growth and a slightly higher unemployment rate than previously forecasted, incorporating placeholder assumptions about these potential policy shifts. Additionally, the minutes highlighted a careful approach to monetary policy in the coming quarters, with the majority of participants indicating that their judgment on the December decision was finely balanced.
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Q1: 2.0%-3.0%, Q2: 2.0%-3.0%, Q3: 2.0%-3.0%, Q4: 2.0%-3.0% • 25%
Q1: <2.0%, Q2: <2.0%, Q3: <2.0%, Q4: <2.0% • 25%
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Q1: >3.0%, Q2: >3.0%, Q3: >3.0%, Q4: >3.0% • 25%
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Raise rates by 25 basis points • 25%
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