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VisitWill US GDP growth rate for Q4 2024 exceed 3.0%?
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Commerce Department's GDP release for Q4 2024
US Q3 GDP Revised Up to 3.1% on Strong Consumer Spending
Dec 19, 2024, 02:08 PM
The US economy grew at an annual rate of 3.1% in the third quarter of 2024, according to revised figures from the Commerce Department, exceeding expectations of 2.8% and up from the previous estimate of 2.8%. The stronger growth was driven by robust consumer spending, which increased by 3.7%, higher exports, and increased business fixed investment. The Core PCE Price Index, the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge, rose by 2.2%, indicating easing inflation pressures. The GDP Price Index remained at 1.9%. This marks the fastest pace of economic expansion since late 2023, demonstrating the economy's resilience despite high interest rates.
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Below 1% • 25%
1% to 2% • 25%
2% to 3% • 25%
Above 3% • 25%
Below 1% • 25%
1% to 2% • 25%
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Above 3% • 25%
Q1: <2.0%, Q2: <2.0%, Q3: <2.0%, Q4: <2.0% • 25%
Mixed outcomes • 25%
Q1: >3.0%, Q2: >3.0%, Q3: >3.0%, Q4: >3.0% • 25%
Q1: 2.0%-3.0%, Q2: 2.0%-3.0%, Q3: 2.0%-3.0%, Q4: 2.0%-3.0% • 25%
>4.0% • 25%
<2.0% • 25%
2.0%-3.0% • 25%
3.0%-4.0% • 25%