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U.S. federal budget deficit range for first half of FY 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Less than $1 trillion • 25%
$1 trillion to $1.25 trillion • 25%
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U.S. Treasury Department's mid-year fiscal report
Story
U.S. Budget Deficit Soars 39% to Record $711 Billion in Fiscal First Quarter
Jan 14, 2025, 07:41 PM
The U.S. federal budget deficit increased in December 2024, reaching $87.0 billion, surpassing expectations of $75.0 billion, according to the Treasury Department. Although the December deficit decreased from November's $367.0 billion, the cumulative deficit for the first quarter of fiscal year 2025 swelled to a record $711 billion, up by $200 billion from the $510 billion recorded during the same period last year, marking an increase of approximately 39%. Revenues decreased by 2% while spending rose by 11%. The Treasury Department also confirmed that the total deficit for calendar year 2024 exceeded $2.0 trillion. The growing deficit underscores the fiscal challenges facing the incoming administration of President-elect Donald Trump.
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Less than $1 trillion • 25%
$1.5 trillion to $2 trillion • 25%
$1 trillion to $1.5 trillion • 25%
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$300 billion to $350 billion • 25%
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January • 20%
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April to June • 40%
February • 20%
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5% to 6.4% • 25%
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6.5% to 7.5% • 25%
