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UN intervention in Hezbollah-Israel conflict by end of 2024?
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Lebanese•Abdullah Bou Habib•Hezbollah•Hassan Nasrallah•Israel•Bou Habib•United States•Nasrallah•TASS
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official statements or resolutions from the United Nations
Story
Lebanese FM: Nasrallah Agreed to Ceasefire with Israel Before Assassination
Oct 2, 2024, 10:33 PM
Lebanese Foreign Minister Abdullah Bou Habib disclosed that Hezbollah’s Hassan Nasrallah had agreed to a ceasefire with Israel just before his assassination. Bou Habib stated that the Lebanese government informed the United States, which confirmed that Israel had also accepted the ceasefire. Nasrallah, the Secretary General of Hezbollah, was killed by Israel shortly after the agreement, according to TASS.
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Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
United Nations • 25%
European Union • 25%
United States • 25%
Arab League • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Increased sanctions on Israel • 25%
Increased sanctions on Hezbollah • 25%
No significant change • 25%
United Nations • 25%
Arab League • 25%
European Union • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
United Nations • 25%
United States • 25%
European Union • 25%
Other • 25%
United States • 25%
Russia • 25%
United Nations • 25%
No major intervention • 25%