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Ukraine's military response post ATACMS interception by June 30
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Increase in ground operations • 33%
Strategic withdrawal from certain areas • 33%
No significant change in military strategy • 34%
Statements from Ukrainian government or military officials, documented military actions
Story
Russia Intercepts Four Recently Shipped U.S.-Made ATACMS Missiles Over Crimea
May 4, 2024, 01:17 PM
The Russian Ministry of Defense reported that its air defense systems intercepted four U.S.-made MGM-140 Army Tactical Missile Systems (ATACMS), known as ATACMS, over the Crimean Peninsula. These missiles, supplied to Ukraine by the United States and shipped recently, were allegedly shot down overnight. Despite these claims, there were no reported explosions or air defense activity observed in Crimea during the time of the incident.
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Yes, escalation occurred • 50%
No, no escalation occurred • 50%
Increased use • 25%
Decreased use • 25%
No change in usage • 25%
Complete cessation of use • 25%
Condemnation • 33%
Support • 33%
No Comment • 34%
Increase in Military Presence in Crimea • 25%
Retaliatory Strikes • 25%
Diplomatic Measures • 25%
No Significant Response • 25%
Increased aid • 50%
No change in aid • 25%
Decreased aid • 25%
Increased military aid • 33%
Maintained at current levels • 34%
Reduced military aid • 33%
Increased Security Measures • 50%
No Change in Security Measures • 50%
Extensive damage confirmed • 50%
Limited damage confirmed • 50%
Increase in military security in the region • 33%
Diplomatic actions against Ukraine • 33%
No significant response • 33%
Significantly strengthened • 33%
Moderately strengthened • 34%
No significant change • 33%