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Type of Russia's response to Ukraine's F-16s by end of 2024
5
Resolution / Starting Odds
Diplomatic actions • 33%
Economic sanctions • 33%
Military operations • 33%
Analysis from military and geopolitical experts, international news
Story
Russia to Treat Ukraine's F-16s as Nuclear Carriers, Warns of Tit-for-Tat Response
May 6, 2024, 02:53 PM
The Russian Foreign Ministry announced that Russia will treat F-16 fighter jets in Ukraine as potential carriers of nuclear weapons. Additionally, Russia has declared it reserves the right to respond reciprocally wherever U.S. short- and medium-range missiles are deployed.
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Full operational capability • 33%
Limited operational capability • 34%
Non-operational • 33%
Diplomatic protests • 25%
Economic sanctions against Belgium • 25%
Military posturing • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
By August 31, 2024 • 33%
By September 30, 2024 • 33%
By October 31, 2024 • 34%
Increase in border defenses • 25%
Retaliatory strikes • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
No significant change in strategy • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
0 • 20%
1-5 • 20%
6-10 • 20%
11-15 • 20%
16+ • 20%