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Escalation of diplomatic tensions between Russia and NATO due to Ukraine's F-16s by end of 2024?
5
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Statements from NATO and analyses from geopolitical experts
Story
Russia to Treat Ukraine's F-16s as Nuclear Carriers, Warns of Tit-for-Tat Response
May 6, 2024, 02:53 PM
The Russian Foreign Ministry announced that Russia will treat F-16 fighter jets in Ukraine as potential carriers of nuclear weapons. Additionally, Russia has declared it reserves the right to respond reciprocally wherever U.S. short- and medium-range missiles are deployed.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Increased sanctions • 33%
Military skirmishes • 33%
Diplomatic resolution • 33%
NATO escalates military readiness • 50%
NATO does not escalate military readiness • 50%