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Type of Israeli military action in Lebanon by June 30, 2025?
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Israeli•Benjamin Netanyahu•Israel Defense Forces•IDF•Lebanon•Israeli Channel 14•Netanyahu•Hezbollah•Lebanese army•Israel•United States
Resolution / Starting Odds
Airstrikes • 25%
Ground invasion • 25%
Naval blockade • 25%
No action • 25%
Official Israeli government announcements or credible news reports
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Netanyahu Orders IDF to Prepare for Intense War in Lebanon Amid Ceasefire Violations on Wednesday and Thursday
Nov 28, 2024, 06:26 PM
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has instructed the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) to prepare for an intense military conflict in Lebanon if the ongoing ceasefire is violated. This directive was confirmed during an interview with Israeli Channel 14, where Netanyahu emphasized the potential for a large-scale war should Hezbollah breach the truce. The statement comes amid reports of ceasefire violations, with the Lebanese army alleging multiple breaches by Israel on Wednesday and Thursday. Netanyahu suggested that the United States has given Israel the green light for "complete freedom of military action" as needed. The situation underscores heightened tensions in the region, with both sides on alert for possible escalations.
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Significant reduction • 25%
Continued operations • 25%
Increased operations • 25%
Complete cessation • 25%
No military actions • 25%
Limited military actions • 25%
Extensive military actions • 25%
Other • 25%
Israeli victory • 25%
Hezbollah victory • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Ongoing conflict • 25%
Israel achieves significant military objectives • 25%
Stalemate with no significant changes • 25%
Hezbollah gains ground • 25%
Peace negotiations initiated • 25%
