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Israel-Hezbollah military conflict in Lebanon by end of 2024?
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Israeli•Benjamin Netanyahu•Israel Defense Forces•IDF•Lebanon•Israeli Channel 14•Netanyahu•Hezbollah•Lebanese army•Israel•United States
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official statements from the Israeli government or Hezbollah, major news agencies like Reuters or BBC
Story
Netanyahu Orders IDF to Prepare for Intense War in Lebanon Amid Ceasefire Violations on Wednesday and Thursday
Nov 28, 2024, 06:26 PM
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has instructed the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) to prepare for an intense military conflict in Lebanon if the ongoing ceasefire is violated. This directive was confirmed during an interview with Israeli Channel 14, where Netanyahu emphasized the potential for a large-scale war should Hezbollah breach the truce. The statement comes amid reports of ceasefire violations, with the Lebanese army alleging multiple breaches by Israel on Wednesday and Thursday. Netanyahu suggested that the United States has given Israel the green light for "complete freedom of military action" as needed. The situation underscores heightened tensions in the region, with both sides on alert for possible escalations.
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Israel victory • 33%
Hezbollah victory • 33%
Stalemate/No clear victor • 33%
Continued skirmishes • 25%
Full-scale war • 25%
Resolution through diplomatic means • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Conflict continues with no resolution • 25%
Hezbollah significantly weakened • 25%
Israeli withdrawal without agreement • 25%
Ceasefire • 25%
Escalation to wider regional conflict • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Peace agreement • 25%
Other • 25%
