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Market
Tuareg rebels to release two captive mercenaries by end of 2024?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from Tuareg rebels or Wagner Group, or credible news reports
Story
Wagner Recovers Bodies of 80 Mercenaries Killed in July Mali Battle
Oct 9, 2024, 06:35 AM
Russia's mercenary Wagner Group has reported that its fighters recovered the bodies of their men killed in a July battle in Mali. According to text messages seen by Reuters, Wagner informed the family of a Russian fighter captured alive in Mali that he has now died, contradicting information provided by the Tuareg rebel group that held him. Wagner claims to have repatriated roughly half of its reported losses, approximately 80 men, while two mercenaries are still reportedly in captivity. The bodies were recovered near Tinzaouaten, Mali, during a desert sandstorm, and were returned to Russia. The battle involved Tuareg rebels, Islamist forces, and the Malian Armed Forces.
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Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Released • 25%
Executed • 25%
Exchanged • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Tuareg rebels gain control of more territory • 25%
Malian forces regain control of lost territory • 25%
Stalemate with no significant territorial changes • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Handed over to Ukraine • 25%
Released by CSP-DPA and Azawad • 25%
Exchanged for Malian prisoners • 25%
Other • 25%
Ukraine • 25%
Russia • 25%
Mali • 25%
Other • 25%
Malian forces and Wagner mercenaries win • 25%
Tuareg rebels win • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Other • 25%
