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TIP attack on Chinese soil by June 30, 2025?
3
Turkistan Islamic Party•TIP•Uyghur•China•East Turkistan•Chinese•Syrian•Beijing•Syrian conflict•Xinjiang•Caucasus•Alawite•Syria
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Reports from Chinese authorities or credible international news agencies confirming an attack attributed to TIP
Story
Uyghur Turkistan Islamic Party Vows to Target China After December 8 Video, Following Bashar-al Assad's Regime Collapse
Dec 14, 2024, 04:13 PM
The Turkistan Islamic Party (TIP), an Uyghur militant group, has declared its intention to target China, emphasizing its mission to liberate East Turkistan from Chinese control. This declaration follows the collapse of the Syrian regime, which TIP played a role in toppling. In a video released on December 8, TIP fighters threatened Beijing, showcasing their commitment to their cause. The group has been involved in the Syrian conflict and has connections to jihadists from Xinjiang and the Caucasus, who have been reported attacking Alawite villages in Syria. Analysts suggest that China is closely monitoring the situation in Syria due to the potential implications for its security and territorial integrity.
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Condemnation of TIP actions • 25%
Support for China's security measures • 25%
Calls for dialogue and negotiation • 25%
No significant international reaction • 25%
Condemnation of TIP • 25%
Support for China's security measures • 25%
Calls for dialogue • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Increase diplomatic pressure on neighboring countries • 25%
Seek international coalition against TIP • 25%
Strengthen internal security measures • 25%
No significant diplomatic change • 25%
Diplomatic measures • 25%
Increased military presence • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
No significant response • 25%
TIP launches attacks in China • 25%
TIP strengthens presence in Xinjiang • 25%
TIP shifts focus away from China • 25%
No significant TIP activity in China • 25%