Loading...
Market
Temporary leader if Lula steps down by March 31, 2025?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Vice President Geraldo Alckmin • 25%
Another cabinet member • 25%
No temporary leadership change • 25%
Other • 25%
Official announcements from the Brazilian government or credible news reporting on the interim leader
Story
Brazil's Lula Discharged after Two Emergency Brain Surgeries Following Fall-Induced Hemorrhage
Dec 15, 2024, 03:00 PM
Brazilian President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, 79, was discharged from Hospital Sírio-Libanês in São Paulo on Sunday after undergoing two emergency surgeries to treat an intracranial hemorrhage caused by a fall. Lula had been hospitalized for six days following the procedures to address the brain bleed. Doctors advised that he remain in São Paulo until at least Thursday, when he will undergo a control tomography scan. The medical team recommended he avoid intense physical activity and international flights for about a month. Appearing before journalists upon his discharge, Lula said he felt "scared and worried" but is now "here in one piece" and "back home and feeling well." He is expected to resume his presidential duties while adhering to his doctors' recommendations.
View original story
Similar markets
No change • 25%
Vice President • 25%
Interim leader appointed • 25%
Cabinet member • 25%
Minister of Economy • 25%
Other government official • 25%
Vice President • 25%
Minister of Justice • 25%
Vice President • 25%
Other • 25%
Minister of Finance • 25%
Minister of Justice • 25%
Another government official • 25%
Other • 25%
No acting President appointed • 25%
Vice President Geraldo Alckmin • 25%
Vice President • 25%
Other • 25%
Temporary Committee • 25%
Cabinet Minister • 25%
Designated Cabinet Member • 25%
No interim needed • 25%
Temporary Committee • 25%
Vice President • 25%
Vice President Geraldo Alckmin • 25%
No Acting President Needed • 25%
Another Cabinet Member • 25%
Minister of Institutional Relations Alexandre Padilha • 25%
Other • 25%
Vice President • 25%
Minister of Justice • 25%
Minister of Defense • 25%
No change • 25%
Vice President • 25%
Interim Leader • 25%
Cabinet Member • 25%
No Temporary Replacement • 25%
Other • 25%
Vice President • 25%
Cabinet Minister • 25%
Vice President • 25%
Cabinet Minister • 25%
Other government official • 25%
No successor named • 25%
Other • 25%
No change, Lula continues • 25%
Vice President Geraldo Alckmin • 25%
Cabinet Minister • 25%