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US and France Call for Immediate 21-Day Ceasefire Between Israel and Hezbollah

Sep 26, 2024, 02:30 AM

The United States and France, along with several allies, have jointly proposed an immediate 21-day ceasefire between Israel and Hezbollah in Lebanon. The proposal, announced by French Foreign Minister Jean-Noël Barrot at a UN Security Council meeting, aims to halt hostilities and allow for diplomatic negotiations. The conflict has resulted in over 600 deaths in Lebanon due to Israeli airstrikes. Senior US officials indicate that the ceasefire deal is expected to be implemented in the coming hours.

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Will a permanent peace agreement between Israel and Hezbollah be reached by September 26, 2025?

United States•France•Israel•Hezbollah•Lebanon•French•UN Security Council•Israeli•US

Resolution / Starting Odds

No • 50%

Yes • 50%

Official announcements from the US, France, Israel, Hezbollah, or UN; reputable news sources such as Reuters or BBC

Will hostilities between Israel and Hezbollah resume before October 17, 2024?

United States•France•Israel•Hezbollah•Lebanon•French•UN Security Council•Israeli•US

Resolution / Starting Odds

No • 50%

Yes • 50%

Reputable news sources such as Reuters, BBC, or Al Jazeera; official statements from involved governments or organizations

Will the 21-day ceasefire between Israel and Hezbollah be implemented by October 1, 2024?

United States•France•Israel•Hezbollah•Lebanon•French•UN Security Council•Israeli•US

Resolution / Starting Odds

No • 50%

Yes • 50%

Official announcements from the US, France, Israel, or Hezbollah; UN Security Council statements; reputable news sources such as Reuters or BBC

What will be the main outcome of the 21-day ceasefire between Israel and Hezbollah by October 17, 2024?

United States•France•Israel•Hezbollah•Lebanon•French•UN Security Council•Israeli•US

Resolution / Starting Odds

Ceasefire holds and leads to negotiations • 25%

Other • 25%

Ceasefire breaks down, hostilities resume • 25%

Ceasefire holds but no significant progress in negotiations • 25%

Official announcements from the US, France, Israel, or Hezbollah; UN Security Council statements; reputable news sources such as Reuters or BBC

What will be the total number of casualties in Lebanon by October 17, 2024?

United States•France•Israel•Hezbollah•Lebanon•French•UN Security Council•Israeli•US

Resolution / Starting Odds

More than 900 • 25%

Less than 700 • 25%

700 to 800 • 25%

801 to 900 • 25%

Official reports from the Lebanese government or international organizations; reputable news sources such as Reuters or BBC

Which country or organization will play the most significant role in mediating the ceasefire between Israel and Hezbollah by October 17, 2024?

United States•France•Israel•Hezbollah•Lebanon•French•UN Security Council•Israeli•US

Resolution / Starting Odds

United States • 25%

France • 25%

United Nations • 25%

Other • 25%

Official statements from involved countries or organizations; reputable news sources such as Reuters or BBC