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Two JMSDF Helicopters Missing, Likely Collided; No Mechanical Failures Found

Apr 22, 2024, 05:48 AM

Two Japan Maritime Self-Defense Force (JMSDF) helicopters are reported missing near the Izu island chain. A senior MSDF official confirmed that there was no foreign involvement in the incident. Subsequent investigations revealed that the flight data recorders from the helicopters showed no signs of mechanical failure or abnormal data, suggesting the helicopters likely collided with each other. Defense officials have ruled out aircraft issues as a contributing factor to the crash.

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Will human error be identified as the primary cause of the JMSDF helicopter collision by the end of 2024?

Resolution / Starting Odds

Yes • 50%

No • 50%

Official investigation reports released by Japan Maritime Self-Defense Force or aviation safety boards

Will the JMSDF change helicopter flight operation protocols by the end of 2024?

Resolution / Starting Odds

Yes • 50%

No • 50%

Official statements or operational updates from the Japan Maritime Self-Defense Force

Will the missing JMSDF helicopters be found by May 31, 2024?

Resolution / Starting Odds

No • 50%

Yes • 50%

Official announcements from the Japan Maritime Self-Defense Force or relevant search and rescue authorities

What policy changes will be implemented by the end of 2025 in response to the JMSDF helicopter collision?

Resolution / Starting Odds

New training protocols • 25%

No significant changes • 25%

Enhanced monitoring systems • 25%

Changes in flight operation rules • 25%

Legislative updates, official government publications or public statements from Japan's Ministry of Defense

What will be the outcome of the search operation for the missing JMSDF helicopters by June 30, 2024?

Resolution / Starting Odds

Nothing found • 25%

Helicopters found intact • 25%

Wreckage found • 25%

Only parts found • 25%

Public statements or press releases from the Japan Maritime Self-Defense Force

What will the official report conclude as the cause of the JMSDF helicopter collision by the end of 2024?

Resolution / Starting Odds

Unpredictable event • 20%

Undetermined • 20%

Human error • 20%

Environmental factors • 20%

Communication failure • 20%

Final investigation report released by the Japan Maritime Self-Defense Force or aviation investigation authority