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Palestinian Man From Gaza Killed by Debris After Iranian Missiles Intercepted Over Israel

Oct 1, 2024, 06:06 PM

An Iranian ballistic missile attack on Israel on October 1, 2024, resulted in the death of a Palestinian man near Jericho in the West Bank. The missiles were intercepted, but debris fell on the village of Nu'eima, killing the man, identified as Sameh Al-Asali. He was originally from Jabaliya, Gaza, and had relocated to the West Bank. Al-Asali was the sole reported casualty of the attack. No Israeli casualties have been reported.

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Markets

Another missile attack involving Iran and Israel by end of 2024?

Iranian•Israel•Palestinian•Jericho•West Bank•Jabaliya•Gaza•Israeli

Resolution / Starting Odds

Yes • 50%

No • 50%

Publicly available news reports from credible sources such as Reuters, BBC, or Al Jazeera

Israel retaliates with military strike against Iran by end of 2024?

Iranian•Israel•Palestinian•Jericho•West Bank•Jabaliya•Gaza•Israeli

Resolution / Starting Odds

No • 50%

Yes • 50%

Publicly available news reports from credible sources such as Reuters, BBC, or Al Jazeera

Reported Israeli casualties from missile attacks by end of 2024?

Iranian•Israel•Palestinian•Jericho•West Bank•Jabaliya•Gaza•Israeli

Resolution / Starting Odds

Yes • 50%

No • 50%

Publicly available news reports from credible sources such as Reuters, BBC, or Al Jazeera

Will Israel launch a retaliatory strike against Iran by December 31, 2024?

Iranian•Israel•Palestinian•Jericho•West Bank•Jabaliya•Gaza•Israeli

Resolution / Starting Odds

No • 50%

Yes • 50%

Official statements from the Israeli government or verified news reports from reputable sources like Reuters, BBC, or Al Jazeera.

Will there be additional casualties reported from the October 1, 2024, Iranian missile attack on Israel by October 31, 2024?

Iranian•Israel•Palestinian•Jericho•West Bank•Jabaliya•Gaza•Israeli

Resolution / Starting Odds

No • 50%

Yes • 50%

Verified news reports from reputable sources like Reuters, BBC, or Al Jazeera.

Will the United Nations issue a resolution condemning the Iranian missile attack on Israel by November 30, 2024?

Iranian•Israel•Palestinian•Jericho•West Bank•Jabaliya•Gaza•Israeli

Resolution / Starting Odds

Yes • 50%

No • 50%

United Nations official press releases or verified news reports from reputable sources like Reuters, BBC, or Al Jazeera.

First country to mediate peace talks between Iran and Israel by end of 2024?

Iranian•Israel•Palestinian•Jericho•West Bank•Jabaliya•Gaza•Israeli

Resolution / Starting Odds

China • 25%

Russia • 25%

United States • 25%

Other • 25%

Public announcements and news reports from credible sources such as Reuters, BBC, or Al Jazeera

Most significant consequence of missile attack by end of 2024?

Iranian•Israel•Palestinian•Jericho•West Bank•Jabaliya•Gaza•Israeli

Resolution / Starting Odds

Humanitarian crisis • 25%

Increased military conflict • 25%

Economic sanctions • 25%

Diplomatic isolation of Iran • 25%

Publicly available news reports and analyses from credible sources such as Reuters, BBC, or Al Jazeera

Primary international response to missile attack by end of 2024?

Iranian•Israel•Palestinian•Jericho•West Bank•Jabaliya•Gaza•Israeli

Resolution / Starting Odds

Sanctions against Iran • 25%

Diplomatic negotiations • 25%

Military support to Israel • 25%

Condemnation without action • 25%

Public statements and actions taken by international bodies such as the UN, EU, and major countries

What will be the international response to the October 1, 2024, Iranian missile attack on Israel by December 31, 2024?

Iranian•Israel•Palestinian•Jericho•West Bank•Jabaliya•Gaza•Israeli

Resolution / Starting Odds

US imposes new sanctions on Iran • 25%

Both US and EU impose new sanctions on Iran • 25%

No new sanctions imposed • 25%

EU imposes new sanctions on Iran • 25%

Official statements from the respective governments or verified news reports from reputable sources like Reuters, BBC, or Al Jazeera.

What will be the outcome for Sameh Al-Asali's family following his death by March 31, 2025?

Iranian•Israel•Palestinian•Jericho•West Bank•Jabaliya•Gaza•Israeli

Resolution / Starting Odds

Family receives compensation from Iran • 25%

Family receives no compensation • 25%

Family receives compensation from Israel • 25%

Family receives compensation from both Israel and Iran • 25%

Verified news reports from reputable sources like Reuters, BBC, or Al Jazeera.

What will be the political fallout in Iran following the October 1, 2024, missile attack on Israel by December 31, 2024?

Iranian•Israel•Palestinian•Jericho•West Bank•Jabaliya•Gaza•Israeli

Resolution / Starting Odds

Iranian government faces both internal protests and international condemnation • 25%

Iranian government faces international condemnation • 25%

Iranian government faces internal protests • 25%

No significant political fallout • 25%

Verified news reports from reputable sources like Reuters, BBC, or Al Jazeera.

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