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Netanyahu Accepts U.S.-Backed Gaza Ceasefire and Hostage Release Proposal

Aug 19, 2024, 05:40 PM

U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken announced in Tel Aviv that Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has accepted a U.S.-backed bridging proposal for a ceasefire and hostage release in Gaza. Blinken emphasized that it is now incumbent upon Hamas to accept the proposal to move forward with the ceasefire agreement. The proposal aims to address and reduce differences between Israel and the Palestinian movement Hamas. Blinken's comments come amid ongoing efforts to prevent further escalation in the region.

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Will a ceasefire agreement between Israel and Hamas be officially announced by October 31, 2024?

Antony Blinken•Tel Aviv•Israeli•Benjamin Netanyahu•Gaza•Blinken•Hamas•Israel•Palestinian

Resolution / Starting Odds

Yes • 50%

No • 50%

Official statements from the Israeli government, Hamas, or credible news sources like Reuters, BBC, or Al Jazeera

Will Hamas accept the U.S.-backed ceasefire proposal by September 30, 2024?

Antony Blinken•Tel Aviv•Israeli•Benjamin Netanyahu•Gaza•Blinken•Hamas•Israel•Palestinian

Resolution / Starting Odds

Yes • 50%

No • 50%

Official announcements from Hamas or credible news sources like Reuters, BBC, or Al Jazeera

Will hostages held by Hamas be released by November 30, 2024?

Antony Blinken•Tel Aviv•Israeli•Benjamin Netanyahu•Gaza•Blinken•Hamas•Israel•Palestinian

Resolution / Starting Odds

No • 50%

Yes • 50%

Official announcements from the Israeli government, Hamas, or credible news sources like Reuters, BBC, or Al Jazeera

What will be the international reaction to the U.S.-backed ceasefire proposal by November 30, 2024?

Antony Blinken•Tel Aviv•Israeli•Benjamin Netanyahu•Gaza•Blinken•Hamas•Israel•Palestinian

Resolution / Starting Odds

Broad international support • 25%

Mixed international reactions • 25%

No significant international reaction • 25%

Broad international opposition • 25%

Statements from the UN, EU, and major countries like the U.S., Russia, and China; credible news sources like Reuters, BBC, or Al Jazeera

What will be the outcome of the U.S.-backed ceasefire and hostage release proposal by December 31, 2024?

Antony Blinken•Tel Aviv•Israeli•Benjamin Netanyahu•Gaza•Blinken•Hamas•Israel•Palestinian

Resolution / Starting Odds

Hostage release but no ceasefire • 25%

Neither ceasefire nor hostage release • 25%

Ceasefire and hostage release accepted by both sides • 25%

Ceasefire accepted but no hostage release • 25%

Official announcements from the Israeli government, Hamas, or credible news sources like Reuters, BBC, or Al Jazeera

Will there be significant political shifts in Israel or Hamas due to the ceasefire proposal by December 31, 2024?

Antony Blinken•Tel Aviv•Israeli•Benjamin Netanyahu•Gaza•Blinken•Hamas•Israel•Palestinian

Resolution / Starting Odds

Change in Israeli leadership • 25%

Change in Hamas leadership • 25%

Changes in both Israeli and Hamas leadership • 25%

No significant leadership changes • 25%

Official announcements from the Israeli government or Hamas; credible news sources like Reuters, BBC, or Al Jazeera