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Japan to Deploy Robot to Remove Melted Radioactive Fuel from Fukushima Daiichi

May 28, 2024, 07:20 PM

Japan is set to deploy a new robot to remove melted nuclear fuel from the destroyed Fukushima Daiichi nuclear power plant. The operator of the plant demonstrated on Tuesday how the remote-controlled robot would retrieve tiny bits of melted radioactive fuel debris. This initiative marks a significant step in the ongoing cleanup efforts at the site, which was severely damaged by a tsunami in 2011.

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Additional Robots Deployed at Fukushima Daiichi by Mid-2025

Resolution / Starting Odds

No • 50%

Yes • 50%

Press releases or reports from TEPCO or technology partners

First batch of melted fuel removed by the robot by mid-2025?

Resolution / Starting Odds

No • 50%

Yes • 50%

Official updates from Fukushima's management or verified media coverage

Public Demonstration of Fukushima Cleanup Robot by October 2024

Resolution / Starting Odds

No • 50%

Yes • 50%

Media coverage and official TEPCO announcements

Public safety concerns following robot deployment at Fukushima within 6 months?

Resolution / Starting Odds

No • 50%

Yes • 50%

Public statements from health and safety regulatory bodies or public opinion polls reported by major media

Robot successfully deployed for fuel removal at Fukushima by end of 2024?

Resolution / Starting Odds

No • 50%

Yes • 50%

Official statements from the plant's operator or credible news reports

Successful Fuel Retrieval by Robot at Fukushima Daiichi by End of 2024

Resolution / Starting Odds

No • 50%

Yes • 50%

Official reports from TEPCO or Japanese government

Amount of radioactive fuel removed by robot by the end of 2025

Resolution / Starting Odds

10 kg to 50 kg • 33%

Less than 10 kg • 33%

More than 50 kg • 33%

Reports from the nuclear plant's operational updates or authoritative news sources

Expert effectiveness rating of Fukushima cleanup robot by end of 2024

Resolution / Starting Odds

Moderately effective • 25%

Highly effective • 25%

Ineffective • 25%

Minimally effective • 25%

Expert reviews or technical assessments published by credible sources

Extent of international collaboration on Fukushima robot technology by end of 2025

Resolution / Starting Odds

Japan alone • 25%

Multiple international partners • 25%

Japan and Europe • 25%

Japan and USA • 25%

Joint statements from involved countries or detailed reports in technological reviews

Extent of Melted Fuel Retrieved by Robot at Fukushima by End of 2024

Resolution / Starting Odds

Above 75% • 25%

50-75% • 25%

25-50% • 25%

Below 25% • 25%

Official TEPCO reports or Japanese government releases

International Collaborations in Fukushima Robotic Operations by 2024

Resolution / Starting Odds

None • 20%

US • 20%

UK • 20%

France • 20%

Germany • 20%

International news releases and official TEPCO statements

Number of Additional Robots Deployed at Fukushima Daiichi by 2025

Resolution / Starting Odds

2-3 • 25%

1 • 25%

None • 25%

More than 3 • 25%

TEPCO press releases and technology partner disclosures