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VisitBiden and Netanyahu Resume Hostage and Ceasefire Talks with Hamas in Doha, Mossad Leads
Jul 5, 2024, 05:27 PM
President Joe Biden and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu have resumed discussions on a potential ceasefire and hostage release deal with Hamas in Gaza. The talks have seen significant progress, with Hamas showing a willingness to agree to a phased Israeli troop withdrawal and a gradual exchange of hostages for Palestinian prisoners, which will now take place on the 42nd day of a deal. The head of Israel's Mossad, David Barnea, will lead the Israeli delegation in the negotiations, which are set to take place in Doha. A significant breakthrough was achieved when Hamas dropped its demand for a permanent ceasefire before the agreement, allowing for a temporary ceasefire and continued negotiations over a six-week phase. The United States, Qatar, and Egypt are mediating the talks, with Biden welcoming Netanyahu's decision to reauthorize negotiations. Despite optimism and a positive response from mediators, gaps remain, particularly regarding Hamas's demand for written commitments from the mediators to ensure ongoing negotiations without a time limit. There is a real chance for a deal.
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Markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from the Israeli government or credible news sources like Reuters or BBC
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Official announcements from the Israeli government, Hamas, or credible news sources like Reuters or BBC
Phased Troop Withdrawal • 25%
Other Issues • 25%
Written Commitments from Mediators • 25%
Hostage Exchange Terms • 25%
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Full Ceasefire and Hostage Release Agreement • 25%
Partial Agreement with Continued Negotiations • 25%
No Agreement Reached • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
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United States • 25%
Qatar • 25%
Egypt • 25%
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