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VisitBarnier Invokes First 49.3 to Pass Budget; Faces No-Confidence Vote Wednesday
Dec 2, 2024, 02:45 PM
French Prime Minister Michel Barnier has, for the first time since his nomination, invoked Article 49.3 of the Constitution to force through the Social Security budget without a parliamentary vote, amid strong opposition. The move, announced on December 2, 2024, has prompted opposition parties including the Rassemblement National (RN) led by Marine Le Pen and La France Insoumise (LFI) to file motions of censure against the government. The no-confidence vote, expected on Wednesday, could potentially topple Barnier's administration. The RN has confirmed it will support the motion, with Jordan Bardella stating the party will vote for censure 'sauf miracle de dernière minute' (barring a last-minute miracle). In a message to his ministers, Barnier acknowledged, 'We are in a serious moment.' The government's reliance on Article 49.3 highlights the challenges it faces in securing majority support for its policies in the National Assembly.
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Markets
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Official announcements by the French government or major news outlets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official results of the no-confidence vote reported by the French National Assembly or major news outlets
Increase • 25%
No data available • 25%
Remain the same • 25%
Decrease • 25%
Public opinion polls conducted by reputable polling organizations
Government survives • 33%
Government falls • 33%
Vote postponed • 34%
Official results of the no-confidence vote reported by the French National Assembly or major news outlets
File another motion of censure • 25%
Organize protests • 25%
Call for early elections • 25%
No major action • 25%
Official announcements from Rassemblement National or major news outlets