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Status of Palestinian Authority's financial situation by August 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Improved • 25%
Unchanged • 25%
Deteriorated • 25%
Collapsed • 25%
Reports from international financial institutions or news agencies
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White House Waives Terrorism Sanctions on Palestinian Government on Election Day, Violating U.S. Laws
Nov 8, 2024, 11:43 AM
The White House has waived terrorism sanctions on the Palestinian Government, despite the U.S. determining that the government is paying terrorists. These violations should have triggered immediate U.S. sanctions, but the Biden-Harris administration used its executive power to waive them. This action was taken quietly on Election Day, as revealed by documents. The banking agreement between the Palestinian Authority (PA) and Israel is based on a comfort letter issued by the U.S. Treasury, which is now in breach of 100 different U.S. anti-terrorism and anti-money laundering laws, even with this waiver. There are calls for Israel to cancel the agreement, suggesting that the PA will reform when faced with total economic collapse.
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Stable with no major changes • 25%
Increased instability • 25%
Collapse of authority • 25%
Strengthened through external support • 25%
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No • 50%
Full reparations • 25%
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Negotiating terms • 25%
Increased security measures • 25%
Diplomatic efforts • 25%
Appeals to international bodies • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Unrestricted operations • 25%
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Complete shutdown • 25%
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Mahmoud Abbas remains President • 25%
New President elected • 25%
Interim leadership established • 25%
No clear leadership change • 25%