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Significant TurkStream Gas Supply Disruption to Europe by June 30, 2025?
3
Russia•Ukraine•TurkStream•Russian•Europe•Türkiye•Russian Defense Ministry•Ukrainian•Russkaya compressor station•Krasnodar•European•PJSC Gazprom
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Reports from Gazprom or European gas supply monitoring agencies
Story
Russia Accuses Ukraine of Attempting to Attack TurkStream Pipeline with Nine Drones on January 11, 2025
Jan 13, 2025, 07:54 AM
Russia has accused Ukraine of attempting to attack the infrastructure of the TurkStream gas pipeline, which supplies Russian gas to Europe via Türkiye. The Russian Defense Ministry reported that on January 11, 2025, nine Ukrainian drones targeted the Russkaya compressor station in the Krasnodar region, aiming to halt gas supplies to European countries. According to the ministry, all drones were shot down by Russian air defenses, and the compressor station sustained minor damage from drone fragments. There were no casualties reported, and the station's operations continued normally after emergency teams from PJSC Gazprom repaired the affected equipment.
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Increase in gas prices • 25%
No disruption • 25%
Minor disruption • 25%
Significant disruption • 25%
Pipeline attacked/disabled • 25%
No incident reported • 25%
Increased security measures • 25%
Diplomatic resolutions • 25%
Sanctions against Ukraine • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
No significant consequences • 25%
Increased military tensions • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Neutral stance • 25%
Increased security measures • 25%
Condemnation of alleged threats • 25%
Call for investigation • 25%