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Significant public protest in Hong Kong related to national security law by end of 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
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First Conviction Under Hong Kong's New Security Law for Wearing 'Seditious' T-Shirt on Monday
Sep 16, 2024, 03:30 AM
A Hong Kong resident has become the first person convicted under the city's new national security law after pleading guilty to sedition. The individual was charged for wearing a T-shirt with a protest slogan. The conviction, which occurred on Monday, marks a significant development in the enforcement of the controversial legislation, which has been criticized for curbing freedoms in the region.
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Yes • 50%
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No demonstrations • 25%
Small-scale demonstrations • 25%
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Large-scale demonstrations • 25%
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No • 50%
Pro-democracy reforms • 25%
Opposition to security laws • 25%
Economic issues • 25%
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Diplomatic negotiations initiated • 25%
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Other actions • 25%
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New convictions • 25%
New acquittals • 25%
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