Loading...
Market
Significant disruption in fentanyl trafficking network by mid-2025 due to López's arrest?
2
Dámaso López Serrano•El Mini Lic•Virginia•United States•López•Sinaloa Cartel•Mexico•Claudia Sheinbaum•Javier Valdez•FBI
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Reports from U.S. law enforcement agencies or major news outlets
Story
Dámaso 'El Mini Lic' López Arrested in Virginia on December 14, 2024, for Fentanyl Trafficking; Linked to Javier Valdez Murder
Dec 14, 2024, 06:18 PM
Dámaso López Serrano, known as 'El Mini Lic', was arrested in Virginia, United States, on December 14, 2024, for fentanyl trafficking. López, a former leader of the Sinaloa Cartel and a former informant for U.S. authorities, had been on supervised release since 2017 after previously cooperating with law enforcement. His arrest raises questions about the effectiveness of the U.S. narco informant system. The President of Mexico, Claudia Sheinbaum, confirmed the arrest, calling it a 'very important' capture. López is also implicated in the murder of journalist Javier Valdez. The FBI has confirmed his capture, which has been described as significant in the ongoing efforts to combat drug trafficking in the U.S.
View original story
Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Significant decrease • 25%
Other impact • 25%
Increase in operations • 25%
No change • 25%
No major leader arrested • 25%
Other cartel leader • 25%
Sinaloa Cartel leader • 25%
Jalisco New Generation Cartel leader • 25%
Partial cooperation with U.S. initiatives • 25%
Full cooperation with U.S. initiatives • 25%
Opposition to U.S. initiatives • 25%
No cooperation with U.S. initiatives • 25%
Other • 25%
Chihuahua • 25%
Jalisco • 25%
Sinaloa • 25%