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Market
Significant Change in U.S. Foreign Policy Towards China by End of 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official U.S. government policy statements or major news reports
Story
Donald Trump Wins U.S. Presidential Election Massively with 57.9% Popular Vote and Over 11 Million Ballots Counted
Nov 9, 2024, 01:48 AM
Donald Trump has won the U.S. Presidential election, securing a significant victory by winning the popular vote with 57.9% against Kamala Harris's 39.3%, with over 11 million ballots counted. This victory marks a major shift in the political landscape, reflecting Trump's strong connection with American voters. Analysts note that this result will likely change how the Left reacts to the election and highlights the Republican Party's best showing with voters aged 18-29 in 20 years. Trump's victory is seen as a massive win against a media machine and challenges the perception of the U.S. as a moral beacon.
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Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
More negative • 25%
No change • 25%
More positive • 25%
Significantly more positive • 25%
Improvement • 33%
Deterioration • 33%
No significant change • 33%
Improved relations • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other • 25%
More negative • 25%
No change • 25%
More positive • 25%
Significantly more positive • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Increased cooperation • 25%
Increased sanctions • 25%
Military buildup • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased sanctions on China • 25%
New cybersecurity agreements • 25%
Increased diplomatic tensions • 25%
No significant policy changes • 25%
Policy becomes stricter • 33%
Policy remains the same • 33%
Policy becomes more lenient • 34%