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Ripple Settlement: Will Ripple settle with the SEC before appeal resolution?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
The resolution will be based on official announcements from Ripple or the SEC, reported by major financial news outlets.
Story
SEC Appeals Ripple Ruling, Seeks to Classify XRP as Security as Gensler Exits
Jan 16, 2025, 12:46 AM
The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has formally filed its opening brief in its appeal against Ripple Labs, seeking to overturn the district court's mid-October ruling that XRP is not a security when sold to retail investors. The SEC argues that the court erred in its interpretation and that transactions involving XRP purchased through crypto asset trading platforms meet the definition of an 'investment contract' under the Howey test. Ripple's Chief Legal Officer, Stuart Alderoty, disclosed the filing and called the appeal 'noise,' suggesting that the lawsuit may be abandoned by the next administration, as SEC Chair Gary Gensler is set to leave office on January 20 under the Trump administration.
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Ripple wins - XRP not classified as security • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
SEC wins - XRP classified as security • 25%
No response • 25%
Adopt new guidelines • 25%
Appeal rulings • 25%
Settle with affected companies • 25%
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No resolution reached • 25%
Coinbase wins majority • 25%
SEC wins majority • 25%
SEC wins • 25%
Coinbase wins • 25%
Settled • 25%
Dropped • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
