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Market
Responsible party for C-Lion1 cable severance identified by March 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Accidental damage by anchoring or trawling • 25%
Deliberate human interference • 25%
Natural causes • 25%
Other/Unknown • 25%
Official investigation reports or government statements
Story
Finland-Germany C-Lion1 Undersea Cable Severed; Cause Unknown, Authorities Investigate
Nov 18, 2024, 04:59 PM
An undersea data cable connecting Finland and Germany, known as C-Lion1, has been severed near Öland, disrupting communication between the two countries. Finnish state-owned company Cinia reported that all data traffic on the cable, which runs from Helsinki to Rostock, is down. Authorities from both Finland and Germany are investigating the cause of the damage, which is currently unknown. The cable, stretching nearly 1,200 kilometers along the bottom of the Baltic Sea, is the first direct communications link between Finland and Central Europe. While possibilities such as anchoring or trawling have been suggested, deliberate disconnection has not been ruled out. Repair work has commenced and may take up to two weeks.
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Similar markets
A specific country • 25%
A private vessel • 25%
Natural causes • 25%
Unknown • 25%
Intentional sabotage • 25%
Accidental damage by anchoring • 25%
Accidental damage by trawling • 25%
Other cause • 25%
Sabotage • 25%
Anchoring • 25%
Trawling • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Anchoring • 25%
Trawling • 25%
Sabotage • 25%
Other • 25%
China • 25%
Russia • 25%
Other state actor • 25%
Non-state actor • 25%
Russia • 25%
Non-state actor • 25%
Other state actor • 25%
Unknown • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
State Actor • 25%
Non-State Actor • 25%
Technical Fault • 25%
Unknown/Other • 25%
Russia • 25%
China • 25%
Other • 25%
No country identified • 25%
Resolved with no tensions • 25%
Resolved with minor tensions • 25%
Ongoing significant tensions • 25%
Escalated into major conflict • 25%