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Impact level on connectivity in Finland and Germany due to C-Lion1 cable by end of 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Significant impact • 25%
Moderate impact • 25%
Minor impact • 25%
No impact • 25%
Reports from internet service providers or telecommunications regulatory bodies
Story
Finland-Germany C-Lion1 Undersea Cable Severed; Cause Unknown, Authorities Investigate
Nov 18, 2024, 04:59 PM
An undersea data cable connecting Finland and Germany, known as C-Lion1, has been severed near Öland, disrupting communication between the two countries. Finnish state-owned company Cinia reported that all data traffic on the cable, which runs from Helsinki to Rostock, is down. Authorities from both Finland and Germany are investigating the cause of the damage, which is currently unknown. The cable, stretching nearly 1,200 kilometers along the bottom of the Baltic Sea, is the first direct communications link between Finland and Central Europe. While possibilities such as anchoring or trawling have been suggested, deliberate disconnection has not been ruled out. Repair work has commenced and may take up to two weeks.
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Similar markets
Severe disruption • 25%
Moderate disruption • 25%
Minor disruption • 25%
No disruption • 25%
Yes, a new cable will be planned • 25%
Yes, a new cable will be operational • 25%
No, existing infrastructure will be improved • 25%
No changes announced • 25%
Linked • 33%
Not linked • 33%
Inconclusive • 34%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Joint EU investigation • 25%
Increased security measures • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Other • 25%
Only Finland and Germany • 25%
Finland, Germany, and Sweden • 25%
Finland, Germany, and another EU country • 25%
Finland, Germany, and a non-EU country • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Accidental damage during construction • 25%
Natural causes • 25%
Sabotage • 25%
Undetermined • 25%
Resolved with no tensions • 25%
Resolved with minor tensions • 25%
Ongoing significant tensions • 25%
Escalated into major conflict • 25%
Less than 1,000 • 25%
1,000 to 3,000 • 25%
3,001 to 6,000 • 25%
More than 6,000 • 25%