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Resolution of ATACMS attack on Crimea by June 30, 2025?
5
Resolution / Starting Odds
Diplomatic Resolution • 33%
Military Retaliation • 33%
No Resolution • 34%
Credible news agencies or official government statements
Story
Kremlin Condemns Barbaric ATACMS Attack on Crimea, Blames Non-Ukrainian Actors
Jun 24, 2024, 09:14 AM
The Kremlin has condemned the recent ATACMS attack on Crimea, describing it as barbaric. Russian President Vladimir Putin expressed his deepest condolences to those who lost loved ones in the attacks on Crimea and Dagestan. The Kremlin has stated that it knows who was behind the attack and asserted that it was not Ukraine, according to Reuters. Additionally, the Kremlin hinted at the involvement of the United States in the conflict, which has resulted in Russian casualties.
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Military strike • 25%
Cyber attack • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic measures • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Increased Ukrainian territorial gains • 25%
Russian military withdrawal from key areas • 25%
Stalemate with no significant changes • 25%
Increased international diplomatic intervention • 25%
Military escalation • 25%
Diplomatic protests • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Other response • 25%
Increased Sanctions on Russia • 25%
Increased Military Aid to Ukraine • 25%
Call for Ceasefire • 25%
No Significant Response • 25%
Successful strategic advantage • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Significant military success • 25%
Limited military success • 25%
No military impact • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
De-escalation or peace talks initiated • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other significant outcome • 25%
Condemnation by NATO • 25%
Support from EU • 25%
UN intervention • 25%
No significant response • 25%