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Resignation of an Israeli military official by end of 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official statements from the Israeli Defense Forces or major news outlets
Story
Israeli Airstrike on Rafah Tent Camp Kills 45, Targets Hamas Officials, Triggers Massive Fire
May 26, 2024, 09:34 PM
An Israeli airstrike targeted a tent camp for displaced Palestinians in Rafah, Gaza, resulting in dozens of casualties. Reports indicate that at least 45 people were killed, with the death toll expected to rise. Palestinian sources confirmed that 27 Palestinians were killed, with some reports indicating over 30 bodies. The airstrike triggered a massive fire, causing severe burns to many of the victims. The camp, located near UNRWA warehouses and designated as a humanitarian zone by the Israeli military, was sheltering civilians who had fled from other conflict areas. The Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) stated that the strike targeted two senior Hamas officials. However, the attack has drawn significant criticism due to the high number of civilian casualties, including women and children.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
IDF Chief replaced • 33%
IDF Chief remains • 33%
IDF leadership reshuffled • 33%
No Change • 25%
New Chief of Staff • 25%
New Deputy Chief of Staff • 25%
Other Significant Change • 25%
Resignation of a high-ranking official • 33%
No major resignations • 34%
Other significant political change • 33%
Soldier found guilty of misconduct • 50%
Soldier not found guilty of misconduct • 50%
Israeli military leadership change • 25%
Egyptian military leadership change • 25%
Both countries change leadership • 25%
No change in leadership • 25%
Major reshuffling • 33%
Minor changes • 33%
No change • 34%
Yes, Netanyahu will resign • 50%
No, Netanyahu will not resign • 50%