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Market
Military leadership changes in Israel or Egypt by end of 2024
4
Rafah•Israeli•Egyptian•Channel 13•Channel 14•Israeli military•Egyptian army•Cairo•Jerusalem•Walla•Egyptian military
Resolution / Starting Odds
Israeli military leadership change • 25%
Egyptian military leadership change • 25%
Both countries change leadership • 25%
No change in leadership • 25%
Official military or government announcements, verified media reports
Story
Incident at Rafah Border Between Israeli and Egyptian Forces Results in Two Egyptian Soldiers Killed
May 27, 2024, 12:57 PM
An incident occurred at the Rafah border crossing between Israeli and Egyptian forces, resulting in casualties. Reports indicate that Egyptian security forces opened fire on an Israeli truck, prompting Israeli soldiers to respond with gunfire. Israeli media, including Channel 13 and Channel 14, initially reported the incident but quickly deleted the news following directives from military censors. The Israeli military has confirmed the incident and stated that it is in contact with the Egyptian army amid high tensions between Cairo and Jerusalem. Meanwhile, Walla news reported that two Egyptian soldiers were killed in the clash. A statement from the Egyptian military is expected shortly.
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IDF Chief remains • 33%
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Prime Minister changes • 25%
Defense Minister changes • 25%
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Reassignment of Key Commanders • 33%
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New Prime Minister from same party • 33%
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