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Reduction of PLA generals by more than 10% by mid-2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official PLA or Chinese government announcements and reports by major international news agencies
Story
China Ousts Two Military Lawmakers Amid Xi's Corruption Purge Affecting More Than 80 Generals and 200 Detention Centers
Dec 28, 2024, 12:10 PM
China's ongoing anti-corruption campaign under President Xi Jinping has intensified, leading to the ousting of two military lawmakers as part of a broader purge affecting the People's Liberation Army (PLA). Reports indicate that more than 80 generals have been implicated in this campaign since October 2012. In addition, a recent investigation revealed that the Chinese government is constructing or expanding over 200 specialized detention centers nationwide to interrogate suspects linked to this crackdown. The implications of these developments raise concerns about military morale and readiness, as the internal power struggles within the PLA continue to unfold.
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
More than 6 • 25%
5-6 • 25%
3-4 • 25%
1-2 • 25%
Fully Achieved • 25%
Delayed • 25%
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Partially Achieved • 25%
New Defense Minister appointed • 25%
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Another senior military official removed • 25%
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Increased internal dissent • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased military efficiency • 25%
PLA Ground Force • 25%
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PLA Air Force • 25%
PLA Navy • 25%
Zhang Youxia • 25%
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Xu Qiliang • 25%
Miao Hua • 25%
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Existing leadership remains • 25%
New military commander appointed • 25%
Leadership remains unchanged • 25%
Leadership restructuring • 25%