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Market
Public opinion shift on abortion rights by end of 2025?
1
Resolution / Starting Odds
More support for restrictions • 25%
More support for access • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased polarization • 25%
National polls from reputable polling organizations
Story
Trump's Potential Second Term Could Expand Abortion Restrictions Nationwide, Affecting 1 in 3 Women and 1.5 Million in NC
Nov 1, 2024, 05:45 PM
A potential second term for Donald Trump could significantly bolster conservative initiatives aimed at restricting abortion access across the United States. Currently, over one-third of women reside in states with stringent abortion bans, a consequence of Trump's previous administration and the appointments of conservative justices to the Supreme Court. Trump's proposed Project 2025 agenda seeks to extend these restrictions nationwide, potentially affecting access to birth control and in vitro fertilization (IVF) treatments. This initiative has raised concerns among lawmakers, with estimates indicating that over 1.5 million women in North Carolina could lose guaranteed access to free emergency contraception under these plans. Critics argue that Trump's approach represents an infringement on women's rights, emphasizing that reproductive decisions should be made by individuals rather than politicians.
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Increase in support • 33%
Decrease in support • 33%
No significant change • 34%
Increased support • 25%
Decreased support • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Data unavailable • 25%
More supportive • 33%
Less supportive • 33%
No change • 33%
More support for stricter regulations • 25%
More support for current regulations • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other • 25%
Significant shift towards pro-choice • 25%
Significant shift towards pro-life • 25%
No significant shift • 25%
Increased polarization • 25%
Increase in support for abortion rights • 25%
Decrease in support for abortion rights • 25%
Stable public opinion • 25%
Other • 25%
More supportive of abortion rights • 25%
Less supportive of abortion rights • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other • 25%
More supportive • 25%
Less supportive • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other • 25%
More restrictive • 33%
Less restrictive • 33%
No change • 33%
More support for abortion rights • 25%
More opposition to abortion rights • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Data unavailable • 25%
Majority support for current law • 33%
Majority support for more restrictive law • 33%
Majority support for less restrictive law • 33%
Majority support expanded rights • 25%
Majority oppose expanded rights • 25%
Split opinion • 25%
No clear data by mid-2025 • 25%