Loading...
Market
Public Opinion on Trump's Conviction by June 2025?
1
Resolution / Starting Odds
Majority Support Conviction • 25%
Majority Oppose Conviction • 25%
Evenly Split Opinion • 25%
Low Public Awareness • 25%
Public opinion polls from reputable sources
Story
NY Judge Upholds Trump's 34 Felony Counts in Hush Money Case, Rejects Immunity Claims
Dec 17, 2024, 01:20 PM
A New York judge has rejected President-elect Donald Trump's bid to dismiss his conviction in the hush money case, ruling that the conviction withstands the U.S. Supreme Court's recent decision on presidential immunity. Judge Juan Merchan determined that the evidence presented in the case was related to unofficial conduct and did not infringe on the authority of the Executive Branch. Trump was convicted in May on 34 felony counts of falsifying business records related to a $130,000 payment to adult film actress Stormy Daniels, aimed at silencing her about an alleged affair during the 2016 presidential campaign. The judge's decision keeps the conviction intact despite Trump's arguments that the Supreme Court's ruling on immunity should apply.
View original story
Similar markets
Majority support conviction • 25%
Majority oppose conviction • 25%
Evenly divided opinion • 25%
No significant public reaction • 25%
More Favorable • 25%
Less Favorable • 25%
No Change • 25%
Divided Opinion • 25%
Majority approval • 25%
Majority disapproval • 25%
Evenly split • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%
Major protests • 25%
Minor protests • 25%
No significant protests • 25%
Support rallies • 25%
Majority hold Trump responsible • 25%
Majority do not hold Trump responsible • 25%
Public opinion divided • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased support • 25%
Decreased support • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Mixed results • 25%
Republican Party • 25%
Independent public figures • 25%
No significant support • 25%
Other political parties • 25%
Very Positive • 25%
Somewhat Positive • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Negative • 25%
Mostly positive • 25%
Mostly negative • 25%
Mixed • 25%
No significant opinion • 25%
Majority Believe Innocent • 25%
Majority Believe Guilty • 25%
Divided Opinion • 25%
Other • 25%
More Favorable • 25%
Less Favorable • 25%
No Change • 25%
Mixed • 25%