Loading...
Market
Prosecution's primary motive argument in Mangione's trial by March 31, 2025?
3
UnitedHealthcare•Brian Thompson•Manhattan•Luigi Mangione•Pennsylvania•Mangione•New York•New York City•Karen Friedman Agnifilo
Resolution / Starting Odds
Financial gain • 25%
Personal vendetta • 25%
Mental instability • 25%
Other • 25%
Court proceedings and official statements from the prosecution
Story
Suspect Luigi Mangione Charged in UnitedHealthcare CEO's Murder; Not a Client, Hires High-Profile Lawyer
Dec 13, 2024, 02:30 PM
UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson was fatally shot in Manhattan on December 4th. The suspect, 26-year-old Luigi Mangione, was arrested after a week-long manhunt and has been charged with second-degree murder. During his extradition hearing in Pennsylvania, Mangione shouted to media members. Police have stated that Mangione was not a client of UnitedHealthcare and may have targeted the company due to its size and influence. He was found with a three-page letter lamenting the high cost of health care in the U.S. and singling out UnitedHealthcare for its profits and size. Investigators are reviewing digital records, video footage, and phone records to build their case. A New York grand jury has begun hearing evidence in the case. Mangione left New York City by train, not by bus as initially thought. He has hired prominent New York attorney Karen Friedman Agnifilo to represent him.
View original story
Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Insanity defense • 25%
Other • 25%
Alibi • 25%
Self-defense • 25%
Personal Grievance • 25%
Mental Health Issues • 25%
Ideological Reasons • 25%
Other • 25%
Notebook entries • 25%
Fingerprint evidence • 25%
Other evidence • 25%
Reddit posts • 25%
Mental health defense • 25%
Self-defense • 25%
False accusation • 25%
Other • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Plead not guilty • 25%
Plead guilty • 25%
Other • 25%
Mental health issues • 25%
Personal grievance • 25%
Other • 25%
Anti-corporate sentiment • 25%
Mental Health Issues • 25%
Personal Grievance • 25%
Corporate Criticism • 25%
Other • 25%
Insanity defense • 25%
Other • 25%
Self-defense • 25%
Lack of evidence • 25%
Other • 25%
Insanity defense • 25%
Self-defense • 25%
Mistaken identity • 25%
Mistrial • 25%
Case Dismissed • 25%
Guilty • 25%
Not Guilty • 25%