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Progress towards a two-state solution by end of 2025
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Significant progress • 33%
Moderate progress • 33%
No progress • 33%
Peace talks outcomes reported by credible news sources
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Israeli Airstrike in Rafah Kills 35, Including Women and Children, Some Burned Alive
May 27, 2024, 12:20 PM
Horrific scenes have emerged from Rafah after an Israeli airstrike hit tents housing displaced Palestinians, resulting in at least 35 deaths, including women and children, some of whom were burned alive. The attack has drawn widespread condemnation, with calls for an immediate ceasefire, the release of hostages, and the provision of humanitarian aid. Critics, including Keir Starmer, are urging the government to halt arms sales to Israel and to pressure for accountability under international law. The incident is seen as a blatant defiance of the International Court of Justice and a violation of international law. There are also calls for a lasting peace based on a two-state solution, with an independent Palestine alongside a secure Israel.
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Significantly advances peace negotiations • 33%
Moderately advances peace negotiations • 33%
No impact on peace negotiations • 34%
Significant progress made • 33%
Moderate progress made • 33%
No significant progress • 34%
Successful ceasefire • 33%
Temporary truce • 33%
No agreement reached • 34%
Israeli withdrawal • 25%
Partial withdrawal • 25%
No withdrawal • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Full implementation • 33%
Partial implementation • 33%
No implementation • 33%
All hostages released • 25%
Partial release of hostages • 25%
No hostages released • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Ceasefire • 33%
Escalation of conflict • 33%
Status quo • 34%
New ceasefire agreement • 33%
Prisoner exchange deal • 33%
No significant agreement • 33%
Status quo remains • 25%
Significant Ukrainian gains • 25%
Significant Russian gains • 25%
Negotiated peace settlement • 25%
Complete Success • 25%
Partial Success • 25%
Failure • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Successful • 33%
Partially Successful • 34%
Unsuccessful • 33%
Successful truce • 25%
Partial agreement • 25%
Negotiations fail • 25%
Increase in hostilities • 25%