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Market
Primary US action against Iran by April 30, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Airstrikes • 25%
Increased Sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic Measures • 25%
No Action • 25%
Official US government announcements or reports from major news outlets such as CNN or The New York Times
Story
Trump's Team Considers Airstrikes and Increased Sanctions Against Iran, Aiming to Prevent Nuclear Weapon Development Within First 100 Days
Jan 5, 2025, 05:46 PM
The Wall Street Journal reports that Donald Trump's team is considering various options against Iran, including the possibility of airstrikes. These discussions are part of a broader strategy that also involves plans to increase sanctions on Iran. The consideration of airstrikes is aimed at preventing Iran from developing nuclear weapons, and there is speculation that action might be taken within the first 100 days of Trump's administration.
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No Action • 25%
Military Strike • 25%
Diplomatic Negotiations • 25%
Economic Sanctions • 25%
Increased sanctions • 25%
Military strike • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Diplomatic Talks • 25%
Airstrikes • 25%
New Sanctions • 25%
No Action • 25%
Other reasons • 25%
Iranian provocation • 25%
Regional security threat • 25%
Nuclear advancement • 25%
Seek diplomatic talks • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Escalate nuclear activities • 25%
Retaliate militarily • 25%
Diplomatic measures • 25%
Cyberattacks • 25%
Military actions • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Retaliatory military action • 25%
Diplomatic engagement • 25%
Increased nuclear activity • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Increased sanctions • 25%
Preventive airstrikes • 25%
Military actions taken • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Sanctions imposed • 25%
Diplomatic actions taken • 25%