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Primary Reason for Kamala Harris's 2024 Election Loss?
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Donald Trump•White House•Kamala Harris•Trump•Republican•New York City•Harris•Biden•Philadelphia•Nate Silver
Resolution / Starting Odds
Economic issues • 25%
Foreign policy • 25%
Lack of youth support • 25%
Other • 25%
Analysis and reports from political analysts and major news outlets
Story
Trump Wins 2024 Election, Gains 44% Youth Vote, Improves Among Young Women, Wins Popular Vote by 2%
Nov 8, 2024, 02:02 PM
President-elect Donald Trump has won the 2024 presidential election, securing a return to the White House by defeating Kamala Harris. According to exit polls, Trump made significant gains among young voters, capturing 44% of support from those under 30 years of age, up from 36% in 2020. This marks the highest percentage of young voter support for a Republican candidate since 2008. Trump improved his share among women aged 19-29 by 7 percentage points, increasing from 33% to 40%. His campaign targeted young voters through a media blitz in the final months leading up to the election. In New York City, Trump improved on his 2020 margins in nearly every neighborhood, gaining 94,611 more votes than in 2020, while Harris received 573,618 fewer votes than Biden did. Similar shifts were observed in Philadelphia, where some neighborhoods voted for Trump. Nate Silver estimates that Trump won the popular vote by a 2% margin.
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Appearance on 'The View' • 25%
Stance on transgender rights • 25%
Identity politics • 25%
Other • 25%
Biden's late exit • 25%
Cultural tensions • 25%
Campaign strategy • 25%
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Ineffective spending strategies • 25%
Lack of voter engagement • 25%
Strong opponent campaign • 25%
Other factors • 25%
Cognitive fitness concerns • 25%
Poll numbers and visibility • 25%
Lack of black voter support • 25%
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Wins presidency • 25%
Wins Democratic nomination but loses presidency • 25%
Loses Democratic nomination • 25%
Drops out before nomination • 25%
Kamala Harris herself • 25%
James Carville • 25%
The View hosts • 25%
Donald Trump • 25%
Communication skills • 25%
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Truthfulness • 25%
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Wins Presidency • 25%
Wins Vice Presidency • 25%
Loses Election • 25%
Withdraws from Race • 25%
Healthcare • 25%
Climate Change • 25%
Economy • 25%
Social Justice • 25%
Lavish spending on events • 25%
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Poor financial management • 25%
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Focus on debt resolution • 25%
Rebrand campaign image • 25%
Increase grassroots efforts • 25%
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FEC investigation • 25%
Lawsuit from creditors • 25%
Settlement with creditors • 25%
No major consequence • 25%