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Demographic with Largest Increase in Trump Support by End of 2024?
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Donald Trump•White House•Kamala Harris•Trump•Republican•New York City•Harris•Biden•Philadelphia•Nate Silver
Resolution / Starting Odds
Young voters under 30 • 25%
Women aged 19-29 • 25%
Hispanic voters • 25%
African American voters • 25%
Polling data from reputable organizations like Gallup or Pew Research
Story
Trump Wins 2024 Election, Gains 44% Youth Vote, Improves Among Young Women, Wins Popular Vote by 2%
Nov 8, 2024, 02:02 PM
President-elect Donald Trump has won the 2024 presidential election, securing a return to the White House by defeating Kamala Harris. According to exit polls, Trump made significant gains among young voters, capturing 44% of support from those under 30 years of age, up from 36% in 2020. This marks the highest percentage of young voter support for a Republican candidate since 2008. Trump improved his share among women aged 19-29 by 7 percentage points, increasing from 33% to 40%. His campaign targeted young voters through a media blitz in the final months leading up to the election. In New York City, Trump improved on his 2020 margins in nearly every neighborhood, gaining 94,611 more votes than in 2020, while Harris received 573,618 fewer votes than Biden did. Similar shifts were observed in Philadelphia, where some neighborhoods voted for Trump. Nate Silver estimates that Trump won the popular vote by a 2% margin.
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Similar markets
Black voters • 25%
Hispanic voters • 25%
Native American voters • 25%
Voters under 30 • 25%
Latino voters • 25%
Young men aged 18-29 • 25%
White voters • 25%
African American voters • 25%
Latino voters • 25%
Muslim voters • 25%
Catholic voters • 25%
Other • 25%
Jewish voters • 25%
Hispanic voters • 25%
African American voters • 25%
Asian American voters • 25%
Black voters • 25%
Young voters • 25%
Hispanic voters • 25%
Non-college educated voters • 25%
Hispanic voters • 25%
African American voters • 25%
White voters • 25%
Asian voters • 25%
Young Voters • 25%
Asian American Voters • 25%
Hispanic Voters • 25%
African American Voters • 25%
Hispanic voters • 25%
White voters • 25%
Black voters • 25%
Asian voters • 25%
Latino voters • 25%
Jewish voters • 25%
Blue-collar workers • 25%
Other • 25%
Catholic Voters • 25%
Hispanic Voters • 25%
African American Voters • 25%
White Non-College Educated Voters • 25%
Increased support from young voters • 25%
Increased support from minority groups • 25%
Increased support from suburban voters • 25%
Increased support from rural voters • 25%
Latino voters • 25%
Asian voters • 25%
Black voters • 25%
Muslim voters • 25%