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Primary Reason for Decreased Voter Turnout in 2024 Election?
2
Joe Biden•Kamala Harris•Democratic•Donald Trump•Trump•Jimmy Carter•Biden•The Washington Post•Post Pulse
Resolution / Starting Odds
Lack of enthusiasm for candidates • 25%
Voter suppression • 25%
Economic concerns • 25%
Other • 25%
Analyses and reports from credible sources such as CNN, AP, or The Washington Post
Story
Trump Wins 2024 Election by 2.2 Percentage Points Amid Decreased Voter Turnout
Nov 12, 2024, 06:07 PM
The final results of the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election indicate a significant drop in voter turnout compared to the 2020 election, with nearly 10 million fewer voters participating. Joe Biden secured 81 million votes in 2020, while Kamala Harris, the Democratic candidate in 2024, received just over 71 million votes. Donald Trump’s vote count remained relatively stable, with just under 75 million votes in both elections. This resulted in Trump winning the 2024 election by a narrow margin of 2.2 percentage points, the smallest margin for a winning candidate since Jimmy Carter in 1976. Analysts suggest that the decrease in voter turnout, particularly among Biden's 2020 supporters, played a crucial role in the election outcome. Election results were reported by CNN/AP, and The Washington Post’s Post Pulse models indicated the narrowest margin since 2000.
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Similar markets
Government distrust • 25%
Economic issues • 25%
Lack of appealing candidates • 25%
Other reasons • 25%
Convenience • 25%
Health Concerns • 25%
Political Engagement • 25%
Other • 25%
Campaign strategies • 25%
Media influence • 25%
Economic factors • 25%
Social issues • 25%
Increase • 25%
Decrease • 25%
No Change • 25%
Data Not Available • 25%
Increased turnout • 25%
Decreased turnout • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other • 25%
USPS delays • 25%
Voter error • 25%
State processing delays • 25%
Other • 25%
Convenience of in-person early voting • 25%
Increased voter awareness campaigns • 25%
Concerns about Election Day congestion • 25%
Other • 25%
Lack of Interest in Candidates • 25%
Increased Streaming Options • 25%
Competing Events • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Less than 130 million • 25%
130-140 million • 25%
140-150 million • 25%
More than 150 million • 25%