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Primary outcome of EU's 15th sanctions package against Russia by Dec 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Significant reduction in Russian oil exports • 25%
Increased diplomatic tensions without significant economic impact • 25%
Russia circumvents the sanctions effectively • 25%
Other significant outcomes • 25%
Analyses from major international relations think tanks or reports from the European Union
Story
EU Targets Russia's Shadow Fleet in 15th Sanctions Package
Dec 11, 2024, 03:03 PM
The European Union has reached a preliminary agreement on a 15th package of sanctions against Russia in response to its ongoing aggression in Ukraine. EU ambassadors have approved measures targeting Russia's 'shadow fleet' of ships used to bypass the G7 price cap on seaborne oil, as well as individual sanctions and restrictions on vessels from third countries acting in Russia's interests. This new package expands existing sanctions and aims to counter efforts to circumvent them. The agreement, announced by the Hungarian EU presidency, comes after initial reports of a failure to reach a consensus among EU envoys, highlighting the complexity of the negotiations.
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Financial institutions • 25%
Military goods • 25%
Other • 25%
Energy sector • 25%
Economic pressure • 25%
Human rights violations • 25%
Support for Ukraine • 25%
Hybrid warfare • 25%
Minor reduction in shadow fleet operations • 25%
No noticeable impact on shadow fleet operations • 25%
Increase in shadow fleet operations • 25%
Significant reduction in shadow fleet operations • 25%
Energy sector • 25%
Military supplies • 25%
Financial institutions • 25%
Technology exports • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Economic retaliation • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Increased military actions • 25%
Energy • 25%
Technology • 25%
Shipping • 25%
Military • 25%
Technology • 25%
Financial Services • 25%
Oil and Gas • 25%
Transportation • 25%
Technology exports • 25%
Financial institutions • 25%
Energy sector • 25%
Military support entities • 25%