Loading...
Market
Primary Hezbollah Response to IDF Strike by End of 2024?
2
Israeli Defense Forces•IDF•Hezbollah•Lebanon•Bint Jbeil•Martyr Salah Ghandour Hospital•Israeli Air Force•IAF•Israel
Resolution / Starting Odds
Military retaliation against Israel • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation without military action • 25%
Increased recruitment and propaganda • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Credible media reports detailing Hezbollah's actions
Story
IDF and IAF Conduct First Strike on Hezbollah Command Center in Southern Lebanon Mosque
Oct 5, 2024, 07:16 AM
Overnight, the Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) conducted a precise drone strike on Hezbollah operatives at a command center embedded within a mosque in southern Lebanon's Bint Jbeil, adjacent to Martyr Salah Ghandour Hospital. The strike, guided by IDF intelligence and executed by the Israeli Air Force (IAF), targeted Hezbollah fighters who were using the mosque to plan and execute terrorist attacks against Israel. Notices were sent to residents before the strike, and conversations were held to minimize civilian casualties. This is the first such strike since clashes erupted between Israel and Hezbollah last year, the military said on Saturday morning.
View original story
Similar markets
Military retaliation • 25%
Diplomatic response • 25%
Cyber attacks • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Military retaliation • 25%
Political/diplomatic response • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Other • 25%
Rocket attacks on Israel • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Other military actions • 25%
Military attack on Israel • 25%
Diplomatic response • 25%
Covert operations • 25%
No significant response • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Limited missile attack • 25%
Major missile attack • 25%
Other forms of retaliation • 25%
Military retaliation • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Increased financial activity • 25%
Military retaliation • 25%
Diplomatic efforts • 25%
Public protests • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Retaliatory strikes • 25%
Diplomatic response • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Other • 25%
Another rocket attack on Israel • 25%
Ground assault on Israeli positions • 25%
No further military response • 25%
Other • 25%
Rocket attacks • 25%
Cyber attacks • 25%
Diplomatic measures • 25%
Other • 25%
Direct military retaliation • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased attacks against Israel • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation only • 25%
Strengthened alliance with Fatah • 25%
No significant response • 25%