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Outcome of US-Israel discussions on ICC warrants by Mar 31, 2025?
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United States•International Criminal Court•Israeli•Benjamin Netanyahu•Yoav Gallant•White House•US•ICC•Israel•Biden
Resolution / Starting Odds
US increases diplomatic pressure on ICC • 25%
US and Israel reach a bilateral agreement • 25%
No significant diplomatic action taken • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Official statements from the US or Israeli governments or credible news sources
Story
US Fundamentally Rejects ICC Arrest Warrants for Netanyahu and Gallant, Citing Lack of Jurisdiction
Nov 21, 2024, 04:07 PM
On Thursday, November 21, 2024, the United States firmly rejected the International Criminal Court's decision to issue arrest warrants for Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and former Defense Minister Yoav Gallant. A White House spokesperson stated that the US "fundamentally rejects" the ICC's move, emphasizing that the court lacks jurisdiction over Israel. President Biden expressed deep concern, stating, "We remain deeply concerned by the prosecutor's rush to seek arrest warrants and the troubling process errors that led to this decision." The US is discussing next steps in coordination with partners, including Israel.
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Joint diplomatic action • 25%
Increased military cooperation • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Appeal Accepted • 25%
Appeal Rejected • 25%
Appeal Partially Accepted • 25%
Withdrawn by Israel • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Appeal successful, warrants withdrawn • 25%
Appeal unsuccessful, warrants upheld • 25%
Appeal partially successful, warrants modified • 25%
No decision by deadline • 25%
Warrants upheld • 25%
Warrants withdrawn • 25%
US sanctions ICC • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
ICC maintains warrants • 25%
ICC suspends warrants • 25%
ICC withdraws warrants • 25%
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Warrants modified • 25%
No decision made • 25%
Sanctions on ICC officials • 25%
Diplomatic protests • 25%
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Majority support ICC action • 25%
Majority oppose ICC action • 25%
Mixed responses • 25%
No significant response • 25%