Loading...
Market
Outcome of U.S. Government Shutdown Situation by January 31, 2025
2
Trump•Continuing Resolution•American Relief Act•Republicans•Donald Trump•House•Mike Johnson•Democrats•Congress
Resolution / Starting Odds
Shutdown averted with new funding bill • 25%
Shutdown occurs but resolved before January 31 • 25%
Shutdown extends beyond January 31 • 25%
Debt ceiling suspended without shutdown • 25%
Official announcements from the U.S. government or major news outlets.
Story
House Fails to Pass Trump-Backed Funding Bill; 38 Republicans Block Measure as Shutdown Looms
Dec 19, 2024, 11:58 PM
On December 19, 2024, the U.S. House of Representatives failed to pass a Trump-backed stopgap funding bill intended to avert a government shutdown set to begin at midnight. The bill, known as the Continuing Resolution (CR) or the 'American Relief Act,' required a two-thirds majority to pass but fell short with a vote of 174-235-1. Notably, 38 Republicans voted against the measure, despite support from former President Donald Trump and House Speaker Mike Johnson. Only two Democrats voted in favor of the bill. The legislation aimed to temporarily fund the federal government and suspend the debt ceiling, extending funding to March 2025. The failure to pass the bill leaves Congress without a clear plan to prevent the impending shutdown.
View original story
Similar markets
Shutdown occurs • 25%
Continuing Resolution passed • 25%
Short-term funding bill passed • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
1-7 days • 25%
8-14 days • 25%
15-30 days • 25%
More than 30 days • 25%
Temporary funding bill passed • 25%
Full budget passed • 25%
Shutdown continues into 2025 • 25%
Debt ceiling increase only • 25%
Shutdown averted • 25%
Short-term resolution • 25%
Long-term budget deal • 25%
Prolonged shutdown • 25%