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Outcome of U.S. Debt Ceiling Situation by April 30, 2025
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Debt ceiling increased • 25%
Debt ceiling suspended • 25%
Debt ceiling unchanged • 25%
U.S. defaults • 25%
Official announcements from the U.S. Congress or Treasury Department
Story
Yellen Announces Treasury to Implement Extraordinary Measures on January 21 to Avoid $36 Trillion Debt Ceiling Breach
Jan 17, 2025, 10:01 PM
Outgoing U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen has announced that the Treasury Department will begin implementing 'extraordinary measures' on January 21 to avoid breaching the statutory debt limit. In a letter to congressional leaders, Yellen stated that these measures are necessary as the U.S. government is set to reach its borrowing limit on that date. The measures include halting investments into certain government funds, such as the Civil Service Retirement and Disability Fund and the Postal Service Retiree Health Benefits Fund. Yellen urged Congress to act promptly to increase or suspend the debt ceiling, which currently stands at approximately $36 trillion, to protect the full faith and credit of the United States.
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Government shutdown • 25%
Debt ceiling raised • 25%
Debt ceiling suspended • 25%
Default on debt • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Debt ceiling raised • 25%
Debt ceiling suspended • 25%
Government default • 25%
Debt ceiling raised • 25%
Extraordinary measures extended • 25%
Government shutdown • 25%
Debt ceiling suspended • 25%
Abolished • 25%
Extended • 25%
Unchanged • 25%
Other • 25%
Default on debt • 25%
Extraordinary measures implemented • 25%
Debt limit suspended • 25%
Debt limit raised • 25%
Debt ceiling extended • 25%
Debt ceiling abolished • 25%
Other legislative solution • 25%
Debt ceiling unchanged • 25%
U.S. defaults • 25%
Debt ceiling raised • 25%
Extraordinary measures extended • 25%
Debt ceiling suspended • 25%
No resolution • 25%
Temporary extension • 25%
Debt ceiling remains unchanged • 25%
Debt ceiling increased • 25%
Temporary suspension of debt ceiling • 33%
Debt ceiling not addressed • 34%
Debt ceiling raised • 33%
No action taken • 25%
Other • 25%
No resolution, extraordinary measures continue • 25%
Debt ceiling raised • 25%
Debt ceiling suspended • 25%
Debt ceiling raised • 25%
Debt ceiling suspended • 25%
Extraordinary measures initiated without raising/suspending • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Suspended • 25%
Abolished • 25%
Increased • 25%
Unchanged • 25%