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Outcome of UK and France's efforts for Ukraine strikes by Jan 20, 2025?
2
UK•Keir Starmer•French•Emmanuel Macron•Armistice Day•Paris•US•Joe Biden•Ukraine•Russian•Storm Shadow•Donald Trump•Trump•Starmer
Resolution / Starting Odds
Biden authorizes strikes • 25%
Biden refuses to authorize • 25%
No decision made • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official announcements from involved governments and media reports
Story
Starmer and Macron Seek Biden's Approval for Ukraine Strikes to Preempt Trump's Policies
Nov 10, 2024, 09:57 PM
UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer and French President Emmanuel Macron are set to meet at the Armistice Day service in Paris to discuss persuading US President Joe Biden to authorize Ukraine to launch deep strikes into Russian territory using Storm Shadow missiles before Donald Trump's inauguration. This initiative aims to disrupt Trump's anticipated efforts to reduce US support for Ukraine following his recent election victory. Starmer congratulated Trump on his election win, with Trump reportedly telling Starmer, 'You have a friend in me.'
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Increased military aid from the UK • 25%
Increased military aid from France • 25%
Increased military aid from both • 25%
No significant increase in aid • 25%
Agreement on Troop Deployment • 25%
Agreement on PMC Deployment • 25%
Agreement on Training Support • 25%
No Agreement • 25%
Significant strategic gains • 25%
Limited tactical success • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Both deploy • 25%
Only UK deploys • 25%
Only France deploys • 25%
Neither deploy • 25%
Approval for long-range strikes • 25%
Continued denial of long-range strikes • 25%
Conditional approval • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Successful de-escalation • 25%
Stalemate with no resolution • 25%
Further escalation • 25%
New sanctions imposed • 25%
Increased support • 25%
Decreased support • 25%
No change • 25%
Withdrawal of support • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Increased sanctions on Russia • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Formal alliance formed • 25%
Informal cooperation agreement • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Discussions ongoing • 25%
Significant territorial gains • 25%
Minor territorial changes • 25%
No territorial changes • 25%
Territorial losses • 25%
Military aid • 25%
Economic sanctions on Russia • 25%
Diplomatic solutions • 25%
Humanitarian aid • 25%
